Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Manama, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday


	Mai Hontama		Carole Monnet

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.78	1.9	Watch
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.59)	1.85 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mai Hontama
50.3%

Carole Monnet
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

73.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mai Hontama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mai Hontama's performance.

Carole Monnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carole Monnet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mai Hontama than the current prediction. (-23.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mai Hontama that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carole Monnet than the current prediction. (+23.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carole Monnet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mai Hontama - Carole Monnet Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hontama (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Hontama (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hontama (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hontama is ranked WTA: 244. Monnet is ranked WTA: 175.

Hontama has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Monnet is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hontama may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Monnet will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mai Hontama
ITF Tournaments
20.01.26	Mingge Xu - Mai Hontama	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
14.01.26	Himeno Sakatsume - Mai Hontama	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Mai Hontama - Maria Timofeeva	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.01.26	En Shuo Liang - Mai Hontama	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Mai Hontama - Manon Leonard	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWLW
- Carole Monnet
ITF Tournaments
20.01.26	Rina Saigo - Carole Monnet	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
12.01.26	Carole Monnet - Elena Micic	1:2 ✺
WTA Auckland
02.01.26	Kaitlin Quevedo - Carole Monnet	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.11.25	Carole Monnet - Laura Samsonova	1:2 ✺
21.11.25	Laura Samsonova - Carole Monnet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLL

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