Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Dubai, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday


	Arantxa Rus		Petra Marcinko

	1	2
			Watch
	4	1.2	Watch
	4.38	1.2
	3.84	1.22	Watch
	4.33	1.2
	4.05	1.2	Watch
	3.1	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (2.48)	1.22 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arantxa Rus
23.6%

Petra Marcinko
76.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arantxa Rus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arantxa Rus's form might have worsened.

Petra Marcinko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petra Marcinko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arantxa Rus than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arantxa Rus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petra Marcinko than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petra Marcinko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Arantxa Rus - Petra Marcinko Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Rus will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Marcinko will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rus is ranked WTA: 137. Marcinko is ranked WTA: 103.

In recent matches, Rus has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Marcinko is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Rus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Marcinko might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Marcinko will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arantxa Rus
ITF Tournaments
03.12.25	Arantxa Rus - Arianne Hartono	2:0 ✺
01.12.25	Arantxa Rus - Arina Rodionova	2:0 ✺
24.11.25	Arantxa Rus - Vendula Valdmannova	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.11.25	Arantxa Rus - Elizabeth Mandlik	0:2 ✺
03.11.25	Arantxa Rus - Anna Sinclair Rogers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLW
- Petra Marcinko
ITF Tournaments
04.12.25	Harriet Dart - Petra Marcinko	1:2 ✺
02.12.25	Viktoria Hruncakova - Petra Marcinko	0:2 ✺
29.11.25	Alevtina Ibragimova - Petra Marcinko	0:2 ✺
28.11.25	Petra Marcinko - Daria Snigur	2:1 ✺
27.11.25	Elena Pridankina - Petra Marcinko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWW

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