Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Hamburg (Germany), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 9 August 2024, Friday

Referee: Finke T. (Ger)


	Arantxa Rus		Elena Gabriela Ruse

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.66	2.09	Watch
	1.76	2.1
	1.72	2.17	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.7	2.09	Watch
	1.66	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.53)	2.11 ↓ (2.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arantxa Rus
55.4%

Elena Gabriela Ruse
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arantxa Rus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arantxa Rus's form might have worsened.

Elena Gabriela Ruse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elena Gabriela Ruse's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arantxa Rus than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arantxa Rus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Gabriela Ruse than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elena Gabriela Ruse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Arantxa Rus - Elena Gabriela Ruse Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Rus will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Ruse will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruse: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rus is ranked WTA: 101. Ruse is ranked WTA: 142.

Rus is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ruse is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Rus won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arantxa Rus
ATP Challenger
08.08.24	Polina Kudermetova - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
07.08.24	Lea Boskovic - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
04.08.24	Suzan Lamens - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
WTA Olympic Games
29.07.24	Arantxa Rus - Qinwen Zheng	0:2 ✺
28.07.24	Olivia Gadecki - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLW
- Elena Gabriela Ruse
ATP Challenger
08.08.24	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Tamara Korpatsch	2:1 ✺
06.08.24	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Dejana Radanovic	2:0 ✺
05.08.24	Laura Pigossi - Elena Gabriela Ruse	0:2 ✺
WTA Iasi
23.07.24	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	1:2 ✺
21.07.24	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Anastasia Tikhonova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.01.20	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Arantxa Rus	1:2

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