Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas, clay - Final

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday


	Arantxa Rus		Kaitlin Quevedo

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.15
	1.6	2.19	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.65	2.08	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.64	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.83)	2.17 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arantxa Rus
57.2%

Kaitlin Quevedo
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arantxa Rus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arantxa Rus's performance.

Kaitlin Quevedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kaitlin Quevedo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arantxa Rus than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaitlin Quevedo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Arantxa Rus - Kaitlin Quevedo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Quevedo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rus is ranked WTA: 122. Quevedo is ranked WTA: 235.

Rus is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Quevedo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Arantxa Rus - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Kaitlin Quevedo - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arantxa Rus
ITF Tournaments
02.08.25	Arantxa Rus - Caroline Werner	2:0 ✺
01.08.25	Arantxa Rus - Aliona Bolsova Zadoinov	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Arantxa Rus - Victoria Gomez	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Arantxa Rus - Anna Siskova	2:1 ✺
WTA Hamburg
16.07.25	Leyre Romero Gormaz - Arantxa Rus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWL
- Kaitlin Quevedo
ITF Tournaments
02.08.25	Kaitlin Quevedo - Ekaterina Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
01.08.25	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Kaitlin Quevedo	Geerlings Martinez A. retired ✺
31.07.25	Gina Marie Dittmann - Kaitlin Quevedo	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Francesca Curmi - Kaitlin Quevedo	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.07.25	Kaitlin Quevedo - Anouk Koevermans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 W?WWL

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