Match Info

Date: 17 September 2020, Thursday


	Arantxa Rus		Marketa Vondrousova

	1	2
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	1.96	1.84	Watch
	1.93	1.78
	2.03	1.88
	2	1.8	Watch
	2	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.79)	1.8 ↓ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arantxa Rus
47.5%

Marketa Vondrousova
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arantxa Rus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arantxa Rus's form might have worsened.

Marketa Vondrousova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marketa Vondrousova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arantxa Rus than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marketa Vondrousova than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.9%	0%	38.1%

Arantxa Rus - Marketa Vondrousova Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Rus will win (votes: 26 - 61.9%). Vondrousova will win (votes: 16 - 38.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rus: 47.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Vondrousova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arantxa Rus
WTA Roma
15.09.20	Iga Swiatek - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
13.09.20	Arantxa Rus - Timea Babos	2:0 ✺
12.09.20	Arantxa Rus - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
31.08.20	Ann Li - Arantxa Rus	2:1 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
24.08.20	Arantxa Rus - Serena Williams	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLL
- Marketa Vondrousova
WTA Roma
15.09.20	Misaki Doi - Marketa Vondrousova	1:2 ✺
WTA US Open
02.09.20	Marketa Vondrousova - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
31.08.20	Marketa Vondrousova - Greetje Minnen	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
23.08.20	Laura Siegemund - Marketa Vondrousova	2:1 ✺
WTA Palermo
04.08.20	Kaja Juvan - Marketa Vondrousova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLWLL

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