Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Ljubljana, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday


	Arantxa Rus		Samira De Stefano

	1	2
	2.10	1.67	Watch
	1.98	1.78
	2.00	1.77	Watch
	2.09	1.82
	1.99	1.75	Watch
	2.01	1.80
	1.99	1.71	Watch
	2.03	1.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.64)	1.75 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arantxa Rus
46.4%

Samira De Stefano
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arantxa Rus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arantxa Rus's performance.

Samira De Stefano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samira De Stefano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arantxa Rus than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arantxa Rus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samira De Stefano than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samira De Stefano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arantxa Rus - Samira De Stefano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rus is ranked WTA: 204. De Stefano is ranked WTA: 250.

Rus has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

De Stefano is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

De Stefano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

De Stefano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that De Stefano will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arantxa Rus
WTA US Open
01.09.26	Arantxa Rus - Leolia Jeanjean	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	Susan Bandecchi - Arantxa Rus	1:2 ✺
26.08.26	Arantxa Rus - Suzan Lamens	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Arantxa Rus - Teodora Kostovic	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.08.26	Britt Du Pree - Arantxa Rus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWWWL
- Samira De Stefano
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Samira De Stefano - Eva Vedder	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Samira De Stefano - Ilay Yoruk	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Samira De Stefano - Adrienn Nagy	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.08.26	Anja Stankovic - Samira De Stefano	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Samira De Stefano - Maria Golovina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWW

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