Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: INDIAN WELLS (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - FINAL

Date: 7 March 2023, Tuesday


	Arantxa Rus		Sara Errani

	1	2
			Watch
	1.78	1.95
	1.85	1.92
	1.84	1.94
	1.82	2.02
	1.8	1.91
	1.73	2.02	Watch
	1.82	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.88)	1.95 ↑ (1.94)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arantxa Rus
52%

Sara Errani
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arantxa Rus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Sara Errani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arantxa Rus than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sara Errani than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Arantxa Rus - Sara Errani Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Rus will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Errani will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rus: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rus is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Errani in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Errani could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Rus won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arantxa Rus
WTA Indian Wells
06.03.23	Diana Shnaider - Arantxa Rus	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.03.23	Sara Errani - Arantxa Rus	Errani S. walkover ✺
04.03.23	Arantxa Rus - Diane Parry	2:0 ✺
03.03.23	Sophie Chang - Arantxa Rus	1:2 ✺
02.03.23	Alexis Blokhina - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 W?WWW
- Sara Errani
WTA Indian Wells
06.03.23	Ylena In-Albon - Sara Errani	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.03.23	Sara Errani - Arantxa Rus	Errani S. walkover ✺
04.03.23	Sara Errani - Petra Marcinko	2:1 ✺
03.03.23	Sara Errani - Rina Saigo	2:0 ✺
02.03.23	Sara Errani - Anna Sinclair Rogers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 W?WWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
05.03.23	Sara Errani - Arantxa Rus	Errani S. walkover
WTA Warsaw
27.07.22	Sara Errani - Arantxa Rus	2:1
ATP Challenger
29.03.22	Sara Errani - Arantxa Rus	1:2
WTA Roland Garros
26.05.13	Arantxa Rus - Sara Errani	0:2

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