Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Victoriaville, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Victoriaville 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Ariana Arseneault		Alexandra Vagramov

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Ariana Arseneault
63.9%

Alexandra Vagramov
36.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ariana Arseneault has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Alexandra Vagramov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ariana Arseneault than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandra Vagramov than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Arseneault is ranked WTA: 470. Vagramov is ranked WTA: 670.

Arseneault is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Vagramov is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Arseneault may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Arseneault is the team to beat.

We predict that Arseneault will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ariana Arseneault
ITF Tournaments
12.03.26	Ariana Arseneault - Isabella Marton	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Ariana Arseneault - Sabastiani Leon	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Ariana Arseneault - Dasha Ivanova	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Ariana Arseneault - Thara Gowda	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Ariana Arseneault - Michaela Bayerlova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW
- Alexandra Vagramov
ITF Tournaments
12.03.26	Sara Shumate - Alexandra Vagramov	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Rachael Smith - Alexandra Vagramov	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Alexandra Vagramov - Dasha Ivanova	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Alexandra Vagramov - Kristina Voznyak	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Alexandra Vagramov - Sabastiani Leon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLWW

Ariana Arseneault - Alexandra Vagramov