Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Trois-Rivieres, hard - Final

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Ariana Arseneault		Dasha Ivanova

	1	2
	1.29	3.68
	1.23	3.55	Watch
	1.29	3.2
	1.25	3.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.34)	3.5 ↑ (2.87)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ariana Arseneault
73.5%

Dasha Ivanova
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ariana Arseneault has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ariana Arseneault's performance.

Dasha Ivanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dasha Ivanova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ariana Arseneault than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ariana Arseneault that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dasha Ivanova than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dasha Ivanova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ariana Arseneault - Dasha Ivanova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Arseneault is ranked WTA: 470. Ivanova is ranked WTA: 622.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Arseneault is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arseneault won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ariana Arseneault
ITF Tournaments
07.03.26	Ariana Arseneault - Thara Gowda	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Ariana Arseneault - Michaela Bayerlova	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Ariana Arseneault - Kaya Moe	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Ariana Arseneault - Andrea Cabio	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Anouck Vrancken Peeters - Ariana Arseneault	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWWL
- Dasha Ivanova
ITF Tournaments
07.03.26	Dasha Ivanova - Ana Grubor	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Alexandra Vagramov - Dasha Ivanova	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Julie Adele Bedard - Dasha Ivanova	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Klara Kosan - Dasha Ivanova	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Lia Karatancheva - Dasha Ivanova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.10.25	Ariana Arseneault - Dasha Ivanova	2:0

Ariana Arseneault - Dasha Ivanova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide