Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Toronto, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Toronto 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Ariana Arseneault		Sara Saito

	1	2
			Watch
	1.78	1.90
	1.65	2.10
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.80	1.99
	1.72	1.93	Watch
	1.69	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 (1.73)	1.98 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ariana Arseneault
53.4%

Sara Saito
46.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ariana Arseneault has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Sara Saito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ariana Arseneault than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sara Saito than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Ariana Arseneault - Sara Saito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Arseneault is ranked WTA: 329., and Saito is ranked WTA: 254..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Arseneault has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ariana Arseneault
ITF Tournaments
24.10.26	Ariana Arseneault - Yuki Naito	0:2 ✺
23.10.26	Sara Saito - Ariana Arseneault	1:2 ✺
22.10.26	Ariana Arseneault - Katherine Sebov	2:0 ✺
20.10.26	Raphaelle Lacasse - Ariana Arseneault	1:2 ✺
17.10.26	Mingge Xu - Ariana Arseneault	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWL
- Sara Saito
ITF Tournaments
23.10.26	Sara Saito - Ariana Arseneault	1:2 ✺
22.10.26	Sara Saito - Linea Bajraliu	2:1 ✺
21.10.26	Sara Saito - Clervie Ngounoue	2:0 ✺
16.10.26	Kajsa Rinaldo Persson - Sara Saito	2:1 ✺
15.10.26	Jamilah Snells - Sara Saito	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
23.10.26	Sara Saito - Ariana Arseneault	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sara Saito
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Madison Sieg - Sara Saito	✺

Ariana Arseneault - Sara Saito