Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Vancouver, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 July 2026, Wednesday


	Ariana Arseneault		Himeno Sakatsume

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.15	1.32	Watch
	3.32	1.31	Watch
	3.05	1.31
			Watch
	3.15	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (3.32)	1.32 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ariana Arseneault
29.3%

Himeno Sakatsume
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

71.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ariana Arseneault has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Himeno Sakatsume has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ariana Arseneault than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Himeno Sakatsume than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Ariana Arseneault - Himeno Sakatsume Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arseneault is ranked WTA: 407. Sakatsume is ranked WTA: 138.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Sakatsume may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sakatsume is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arseneault won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ariana Arseneault
ATP Challenger
29.07.26	Ariana Arseneault - Annabele Xu	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.07.26	Ariana Arseneault - Teah Chavez	1:2 ✺
25.07.26	Lizette Cabrera - Ariana Arseneault	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Ariana Arseneault - Alyssa Ahn	2:0 ✺
23.07.26	Ariana Arseneault - Annabele Xu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWW
- Himeno Sakatsume
ATP Challenger
29.07.26	Hong Yi Cody Wong - Himeno Sakatsume	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.07.26	Fiona Crawley - Himeno Sakatsume	2:1 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
23.06.26	Fiona Crawley - Himeno Sakatsume	2:1 ✺
WTA Nottingham
14.06.26	Himeno Sakatsume - Alicia Dudeney	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Himeno Sakatsume - Mika Stojsavljevic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLWW

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