Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Saguenay, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday


	Ariana Arseneault		Katherine Sebov

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.60
	2.45	1.48
	2.08	1.65	Watch
	2.17	1.66
	2.12	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.88)	1.6 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ariana Arseneault
42.2%

Katherine Sebov
57.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ariana Arseneault has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ariana Arseneault's form might have worsened.

Katherine Sebov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Katherine Sebov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ariana Arseneault than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katherine Sebov than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Ariana Arseneault - Katherine Sebov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arseneault is ranked WTA: 352., and Sebov is ranked WTA: 229..

Arseneault has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Sebov have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Sebov could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ariana Arseneault
ITF Tournaments
20.10.26	Raphaelle Lacasse - Ariana Arseneault	1:2 ✺
17.10.26	Mingge Xu - Ariana Arseneault	2:0 ✺
16.10.26	Ayana Akli - Ariana Arseneault	0:2 ✺
15.10.26	Madison Sieg - Ariana Arseneault	0:2 ✺
14.10.26	Ariana Arseneault - Justina Mikulskyte	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWWW
- Katherine Sebov
ITF Tournaments
20.10.26	Margaux Rouvroy - Katherine Sebov	0:2 ✺
14.10.26	Katherine Sebov - Francoise Abanda	1:2 ✺
01.10.26	Katherine Sebov - Margaux Rouvroy	1:2 ✺
29.09.26	Katherine Sebov - Alize Lim	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Katherine Sebov - Gabriela Knutson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ariana Arseneault
ITF Tournaments
23.10.26	Sara Saito - Ariana Arseneault	✺

Ariana Arseneault - Katherine Sebov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Ariana Arseneault - Katherine Sebov Predictions

Preview

Form

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