Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Reus, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Ariana Geerlings Martinez		Francesca Pace

	1	2
			Watch
	1.40	2.65
	1.45	2.6
	1.42	2.89
	1.39	2.75	Watch
	1.39	2.8
	1.39	2.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.47)	2.73 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ariana Geerlings Martinez
66%

Francesca Pace
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ariana Geerlings Martinez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Francesca Pace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ariana Geerlings Martinez than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ariana Geerlings Martinez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesca Pace than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francesca Pace could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Francesca Pace Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Geerlings Martinez is ranked WTA: 589. Pace is ranked WTA: 324.

Now, both players are in good form.

Pace may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Geerlings Martinez could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ariana Geerlings Martinez
ITF Tournaments
11.09.26	Amandine Hesse - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	0:2 ✺
10.09.26	Freya Peet - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Justina Mikulskyte	1:2 ✺
27.08.26	Anastasia Zolotareva - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLW
- Francesca Pace
ITF Tournaments
11.09.26	Carlota Martinez Cirez - Francesca Pace	0:2 ✺
10.09.26	Iva Primorac - Francesca Pace	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Nahia Berecoechea - Francesca Pace	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Fiona Ferro - Francesca Pace	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Alice Tubello - Francesca Pace	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWLW

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