Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 The Hague, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 July 2025, Friday


	Ariana Geerlings Martinez		Jessica Pieri

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.98
	1.75	1.96
	1.78	1.99
	1.73	2
	1.73	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.73)	1.98 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ariana Geerlings Martinez
53.2%

Jessica Pieri
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ariana Geerlings Martinez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Jessica Pieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ariana Geerlings Martinez than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pieri than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

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Preview

Geerlings Martinez is ranked WTA: 346. Pieri is ranked WTA: 381.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Geerlings Martinez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Geerlings Martinez won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ariana Geerlings Martinez
ITF Tournaments
10.07.25	Nastasja Mariana Schunk - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	1:2 ✺
09.07.25	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Federica Urgesi	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Angella Okutoyi	0:2 ✺
23.06.25	Samira De Stefano - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.06.25	Solana Sierra - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLLL
- Jessica Pieri
ITF Tournaments
10.07.25	Jessica Pieri - Dominika Salkova	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Anouck Vrancken Peeters - Jessica Pieri	0:2 ✺
03.07.25	Jessica Pieri - Jasmin Ortenzi	1:2 ✺
02.07.25	Federica Di Sarra - Jessica Pieri	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Jessica Pieri - Panna Udvardy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
05.04.25	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Jessica Pieri	1:2

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