Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 The Hague, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 July 2025, Wednesday


	Ariana Geerlings Martinez		Federica Urgesi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.33	2.95
	1.33	2.9
	1.41	2.76
			Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.37	2.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.34)	2.95 ↓ (3.13)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ariana Geerlings Martinez
68.5%

Federica Urgesi
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ariana Geerlings Martinez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Federica Urgesi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ariana Geerlings Martinez than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Federica Urgesi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Geerlings Martinez is ranked WTA: 346. Urgesi is ranked WTA: 444.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Urgesi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Geerlings Martinez is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ariana Geerlings Martinez
ITF Tournaments
02.07.25	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Angella Okutoyi	0:2 ✺
23.06.25	Samira De Stefano - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.06.25	Solana Sierra - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	2:0 ✺
10.06.25	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Laura Pigossi	2:0 ✺
09.06.25	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Diletta Cherubini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLWW
- Federica Urgesi
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Gabriela Ce - Federica Urgesi	2:1 ✺
02.07.25	Federica Urgesi - Carlota Martinez Cirez	2:1 ✺
25.06.25	Nika Radisic - Federica Urgesi	2:0 ✺
24.06.25	Chiara Fornasieri - Federica Urgesi	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.06.25	Julia Grabher - Federica Urgesi	Urgesi F. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLW?

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