Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Valencia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 June 2025, Tuesday


	Ariana Geerlings Martinez		Laura Pigossi

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.45
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.48	2.57	Watch
	1.47	2.56	Watch
	1.44	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.85)	2.57 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ariana Geerlings Martinez
63.7%

Laura Pigossi
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ariana Geerlings Martinez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ariana Geerlings Martinez's performance.

Laura Pigossi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Laura Pigossi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ariana Geerlings Martinez than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ariana Geerlings Martinez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laura Pigossi than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Laura Pigossi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Laura Pigossi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Geerlings Martinez will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Pigossi will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Geerlings Martinez is ranked WTA: 379. Pigossi is ranked WTA: 198.

Geerlings Martinez is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pigossi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pigossi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Laura Pigossi - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.03%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ariana Geerlings Martinez
ATP Challenger
09.06.25	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Diletta Cherubini	2:0 ✺
08.06.25	Aoi Ito - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.06.25	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Andrea Lazaro Garcia	1:2 ✺
01.06.25	Georgia Andreea Craciun - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	0:2 ✺
31.05.25	Anastasia Gasanova - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWLWW
- Laura Pigossi
ATP Challenger
02.06.25	Dominika Salkova - Laura Pigossi	2:0 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
19.05.25	Laura Pigossi - Fiona Ferro	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.05.25	Katarina Jokic - Laura Pigossi	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Maria Mateas - Laura Pigossi	1:2 ✺
30.04.25	Irina Maria Bara - Laura Pigossi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWW

Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Laura Pigossi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide