Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Varnamo, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday


	Aristotelis Thanos		Niels McDonald

	1	2
			Watch
	1.87	1.80
	2.00	1.72
	1.92	1.9
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.85	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.87)	1.82 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aristotelis Thanos
49.1%

Niels McDonald
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aristotelis Thanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Niels McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aristotelis Thanos than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niels McDonald than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Aristotelis Thanos - Niels McDonald Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Thanos is ranked ATP: 503. McDonald is ranked ATP: 1007.

Thanos is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

McDonald is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Thanos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that McDonald will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Aristotelis Thanos - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.32%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aristotelis Thanos
ITF Tournaments
12.06.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Aristotelis Thanos	1:2 ✺
11.06.26	Jonathan Mridha - Aristotelis Thanos	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	John Hallquist Lithen - Aristotelis Thanos	0:2 ✺
30.05.26	Denis Klok - Aristotelis Thanos	2:1 ✺
29.05.26	Vuk Radjenovic - Aristotelis Thanos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWLW
- Niels McDonald
ITF Tournaments
12.06.26	Niels McDonald - Anton Shepp	2:0 ✺
11.06.26	Eric Vanshelboim - Niels McDonald	0:2 ✺
10.06.26	Niels McDonald - Cruz Hewitt	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	Kai Wehnelt - Niels McDonald	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Niels McDonald - Vincent Marysko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWW

Aristotelis Thanos - Niels McDonald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide