Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lille (France), hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday


	Arthur Bouquier		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.16	1.62	Watch
	2.27	1.66
	2.15	1.68	Watch
			Watch
	2.16	1.65	Watch
	2.16	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.25)	1.64 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Bouquier
42.9%

Calvin Hemery
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Bouquier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Bouquier than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Arthur Bouquier - Calvin Hemery Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Bouquier will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Hemery will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bouquier: 69.5% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bouquier is ranked ATP: 424. Hemery is ranked ATP: 212.

Bouquier in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Hemery is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bouquier could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Calvin Hemery - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.44%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Bouquier
ATP Challenger
07.02.25	Arthur Bouquier - Tom Paris	2:0 ✺
06.02.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Arthur Bouquier	1:2 ✺
04.02.25	Matteo Martineau - Arthur Bouquier	0:2 ✺
03.02.25	Rudolf Molleker - Arthur Bouquier	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Arthur Bouquier - Ivan Gakhov	Gakhov I. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WWWW?
- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
07.02.25	Calvin Hemery - Max Hans Rehberg	2:0 ✺
06.02.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
04.02.25	Lucas Marionneau - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
26.01.25	Hugo Grenier - Calvin Hemery	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.01.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWLL

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