Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 May 2025, Monday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Arthur Bouquier		Federico Coria

	1	2
	2.1	1.67
	2.35	1.55
	2.2	1.57	Watch
	2.11	1.75
	2.14	1.69	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.15	1.7	Watch
	2.2	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (3)	1.63 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Bouquier
42.5%

Federico Coria
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Bouquier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Bouquier's performance.

Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Federico Coria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Bouquier than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Bouquier that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Federico Coria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Arthur Bouquier - Federico Coria Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bouquier will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Coria will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coria: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Federico Coria will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bouquier is ranked ATP: 200. Coria is ranked ATP: 141.

Bouquier has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Coria is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Coria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Coria could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Coria will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Bouquier
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Arthur Bouquier - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
28.04.25	Arthur Bouquier - Mae Malige	2:0 ✺
22.04.25	Remy Bertola - Arthur Bouquier	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Arthur Bouquier - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
13.04.25	Arthur Bouquier - Leonid Sheyngezikht	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLW
- Federico Coria
ATP Challenger
15.05.25	Federico Coria - Titouan Droguet	Coria F. retired ✺
14.05.25	Federico Coria - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
13.05.25	Federico Coria - Aziz Ouakaa	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
12.04.25	Federico Coria - Laslo Djere	Coria F. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
10.04.25	Federico Coria - Filip Misolic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 ?WW?L

Arthur Bouquier - Federico Coria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide