Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BREST (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 27 October 2023, Friday


	Arthur Cazaux		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.68	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.2
	1.71	2.22
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.68	2.12	Watch
	1.62	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.85)	2.14 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Cazaux
55.9%

Hugo Gaston
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Cazaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Cazaux's performance.

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Gaston might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Cazaux than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Cazaux that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Gaston could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Arthur Cazaux - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Cazaux will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Gaston will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cazaux: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Cazaux is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gaston is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gaston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Cazaux
ATP Challenger
25.10.23	Brandon Nakashima - Arthur Cazaux	1:2 ✺
24.10.23	Arthur Cazaux - Dennis Novak	2:0 ✺
18.10.23	Arthur Cazaux - Constant Lestienne	0:2 ✺
17.10.23	Matteo Gigante - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
10.10.23	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Arthur Cazaux	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWL
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
25.10.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
24.10.23	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
ATP Antwerp
20.10.23	Maximilian Marterer - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
19.10.23	Hugo Gaston - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
16.10.23	Arthur Rinderknech - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWW

Arthur Cazaux - Hugo Gaston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide