Match Info

Date: 3 October 2022, Monday


	Arthur Cazaux		Jonas Forejtek

	1	2
	1.61	2.2	Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.63	2.18
	1.63	2.1
	1.7	2.18
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.66	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.94)	2.13 ↑ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Cazaux
56.2%

Jonas Forejtek
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Cazaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Cazaux's performance.

Jonas Forejtek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jonas Forejtek might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Cazaux than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Cazaux that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonas Forejtek than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jonas Forejtek could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	0%	63.2%

Arthur Cazaux - Jonas Forejtek Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Cazaux will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Forejtek will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Forejtek: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cazaux is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Forejtek has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cazaux could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Cazaux
ATP Challenger
26.09.22	Arthur Cazaux - Ulises Blanch	1:2 ✺
25.09.22	Arthur Cazaux - Samuel Brosset	2:1 ✺
11.09.22	Stuart Parker - Arthur Cazaux	Parker S. retired ✺
09.09.22	Arthur Cazaux - Omar Jasika	Cazaux A. retired ✺
09.09.22	Arthur Cazaux - Hoang Nam Ly	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LW??W
- Jonas Forejtek
ATP Challenger
26.09.22	Jonas Forejtek - Gijs Brouwer	1:2 ✺
11.09.22	Jonas Forejtek - Tim Handel	0:2 ✺
04.09.22	Jonas Forejtek - Neil Oberleitner	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
23.08.22	Jonas Forejtek - Riccardo Bonadio	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.08.22	Jonas Forejtek - Riccardo Bonadio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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