Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: DANDERYD (SWEDEN), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 15 November 2023, Wednesday


	Arthur Fery		Maximilian Marterer

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.6	1.45	Watch
	2.66	1.5
	2.62	1.44
	2.88	1.38	Watch
	2.6	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.29)	1.44 ↓ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fery
35.3%

Maximilian Marterer
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arthur Fery's form might have worsened.

Maximilian Marterer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maximilian Marterer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fery than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arthur Fery, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maximilian Marterer than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maximilian Marterer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	0%	35.3%

Arthur Fery - Maximilian Marterer Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Fery will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Marterer will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fery: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Fery could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Marterer will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fery
ATP Challenger
14.11.23	Arthur Fery - Mika Brunold	2:1 ✺
31.10.23	Liam Broady - Arthur Fery	2:0 ✺
27.10.23	Benjamin Bonzi - Arthur Fery	2:0 ✺
26.10.23	Arthur Fery - David Goffin	2:1 ✺
25.10.23	Ryan Peniston - Arthur Fery	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLWW
- Maximilian Marterer
ATP Challenger
13.11.23	Oscar Otte - Maximilian Marterer	0:2 ✺
ATP Sofia
07.11.23	Jack Draper - Maximilian Marterer	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.11.23	Antoine Bellier - Maximilian Marterer	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Lukas Klein - Maximilian Marterer	0:2 ✺
03.11.23	Andrew Paulson - Maximilian Marterer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWW

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