Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vienna 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Arthur Fery		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.40	1.30
	3.35	1.3
	3.74	1.29	Watch
	3.6	1.31
	3.39	1.34	Watch
	3.35	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (2.92)	1.31 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fery
27.3%

Lorenzo Musetti
72.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.4%

67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arthur Fery's form might have worsened.

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorenzo Musetti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fery than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arthur Fery, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Musetti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Arthur Fery - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Musetti (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Lorenzo Musetti will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fery is ranked ATP: 35., and Musetti is ranked ATP: 26..

In recent outings, Fery has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Musetti is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Fery could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Musetti is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Musetti in today's match, at odds of 1.31.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Fery has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:3 (averaging 0:1.5 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fery
ATP Vienna
26.10.26	Arthur Fery - Jacob Fearnley	Fearnley J. Retired ✺
ATP Lyon
20.10.26	Arthur Fery - Borna Gojo	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
09.10.26	Karen Khachanov - Arthur Fery	2:1 ✺
07.10.26	Arthur Fery - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
30.09.26	Jaime Faria - Arthur Fery	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 ?LLWL
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Vienna
28.10.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
ATP Lyon
25.10.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
24.10.26	Flavio Cobolli - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
23.10.26	Luca Van Assche - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
21.10.26	Moise Kouame - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Tokyo
30.09.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Arthur Fery	Canceled
ATP US Open
01.09.26	Arthur Fery - Lorenzo Musetti	0:3

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fery
ATP Vienna
30.10.26	Alexander Zverev - Arthur Fery	✺

Arthur Fery - Lorenzo Musetti