Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Grandstand (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Arthur Fery		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.70	1.26
	3.80	1.27
	4.26	1.27
	3.78	1.27	Watch
	4.05	1.25
	3.74	1.29	Watch
	3.70	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↑ (3.65)	1.27 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 36.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fery
24.9%

Lorenzo Musetti
75.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

73.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

71.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fery than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Arthur Fery - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 34 Games - under (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lorenzo Musetti will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Fery is ranked ATP: 37. Musetti is ranked ATP: 15.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Musetti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Musetti is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fery
ATP Winston-Salem
29.08.26	Arthur Fery - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	James Duckworth - Arthur Fery	Duckworth J. Retired ✺
27.08.26	Arthur Fery - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
26.08.26	Arthur Fery - Mees Rottgering	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Arthur Fery - Cruz Hewitt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 L?WWW
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Cincinnati
21.08.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Jaime Faria - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
18.08.26	Michael Zheng - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Daniel Altmaier - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
06.08.26	Rafael Jodar - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWL

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