Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Surbiton (United Kingdom), grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 June 2024, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Surbiton (United Kingdom) 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass

Referee: Haigh R. (Gbr)


	Arthur Fery		Mikhail Kukushkin

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.83	1.87
	1.85	1.88	Watch
	1.9	1.96
	1.91	1.96
	1.91	1.8
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.88	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.27)	1.87 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fery
49.9%

Mikhail Kukushkin
50.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.9%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Fery's performance.

Mikhail Kukushkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mikhail Kukushkin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fery than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Fery that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mikhail Kukushkin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Arthur Fery - Mikhail Kukushkin Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Fery will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Kukushkin will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Fery could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fery
ATP Challenger
15.05.24	Arthur Fery - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
14.05.24	Li Tu - Arthur Fery	0:2 ✺
14.05.24	Arthur Fery - Tung-Lin Wu	2:0 ✺
06.05.24	Arthur Fery - Brandon Holt	0:2 ✺
25.04.24	Arthur Fery - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLL
- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.24	Fabian Marozsan - Mikhail Kukushkin	3:0 ✺
24.05.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2 ✺
22.05.24	Li Tu - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
21.05.24	Leandro Riedi - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
07.05.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fery
ATP Vienna
30.10.26	Alexander Zverev - Arthur Fery	✺

Arthur Fery - Mikhail Kukushkin