Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LYON (FRANCE) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 11 June 2023, Sunday


	Arthur Gea		Mathias Bourgue

	1	2
			Watch
	2.65	1.4
	2.65	1.46
	2.75	1.4
	2.67	1.43	Watch
	2.7	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.4)	1.42 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
34.6%

Mathias Bourgue
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Mathias Bourgue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathias Bourgue than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Arthur Gea - Mathias Bourgue Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Gea will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Bourgue will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gea: 62.2% – 100%.

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Bourgue could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bourgue will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gea won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
Boys Singles French Open
05.06.23	Maxim Mrva - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
04.06.23	Emilien Demanet - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
23.05.23	Arthur Gea - Liam Broady	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.23	Jesper De Jong - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
14.05.23	Arthur Gea - Viktor Durasovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLLW
- Mathias Bourgue
ITF Tournaments
02.06.23	Lucas Poullain - Mathias Bourgue	2:0 ✺
01.06.23	Mathias Bourgue - Timo Legout	Legout T. retired ✺
31.05.23	Mathias Bourgue - Amaury Raynel	2:1 ✺
30.05.23	Mathias Bourgue - William Jucha	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.05.23	Mate Valkusz - Mathias Bourgue	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 L?WWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.02.23	Arthur Gea - Mathias Bourgue	0:2
02.05.22	Arthur Gea - Mathias Bourgue	0:2

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