Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sibiu (Romania), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 September 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Ursu D. (Rou)


	Arthur Gea		Valentin Royer

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.16	1.62	Watch
	2.27	1.64
	2.21	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.47	1.51	Watch
	2.16	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.84)	1.62 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
42.3%

Valentin Royer
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arthur Gea's form might have worsened.

Valentin Royer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valentin Royer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arthur Gea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valentin Royer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arthur Gea - Valentin Royer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gea is ranked ATP: 336. Royer is ranked ATP: 213.

Gea is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Royer is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gea could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Arthur Gea - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Valentin Royer - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
17.09.24	Jelle Sels - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
16.09.24	Arthur Gea - Olaf Pieczkowski	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Arthur Gea - Bogdan Pavel	2:0 ✺
23.08.24	Juan Bautista Torres - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
22.08.24	Christoph Negritu - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLW
- Valentin Royer
ATP Challenger
16.09.24	Jorge Plans - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
13.09.24	Valentin Royer - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	0:2 ✺
12.09.24	Valentin Royer - Alex Marti Pujolras	2:1 ✺
10.09.24	Valentin Royer - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:0 ✺
04.09.24	Rudolf Molleker - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWWL

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