Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Dobrich (Bulgaria), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 23 August 2024, Friday

Referee: Yovchev I. (Bul)


	Juan Bautista Torres		Arthur Gea

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.71	2.01	Watch
	1.8	2.08
	1.74	2.14	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.61	2.23	Watch
	1.71	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.84)	2.05 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Bautista Torres
54.2%

Arthur Gea
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Bautista Torres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Bautista Torres than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Juan Bautista Torres - Arthur Gea Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Torres will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Gea will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Torres: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Torres is ranked ATP: 329. Gea is ranked ATP: 355.

Recent matches Torres is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gea is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Torres could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Juan Bautista Torres - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Arthur Gea - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Bautista Torres
ATP Challenger
22.08.24	Ergi Kirkin - Juan Bautista Torres	0:2 ✺
21.08.24	Alexander Donski - Juan Bautista Torres	1:2 ✺
19.08.24	Juan Bautista Torres - Gabi Adrian Boitan	2:0 ✺
14.08.24	Stefano Travaglia - Juan Bautista Torres	2:1 ✺
06.08.24	Juan Bautista Torres - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLL
- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
22.08.24	Christoph Negritu - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
21.08.24	Arthur Gea - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
20.08.24	Andrej Martin - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.08.24	Ivan Ivanov - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
14.08.24	Nikolay Nedelchev - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLW

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