Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 18, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday


	Arthur Weber		Finn Murgett

	1	2
			Watch
	1.52	2.58
	1.43	2.58	Watch
	1.46	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.43)	2.56 (2.56)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Weber
63.6%

Finn Murgett
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Weber has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Finn Murgett has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Weber than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arthur Weber, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Finn Murgett than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Finn Murgett, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arthur Weber - Finn Murgett Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Weber is ranked ATP: 406. Murgett is ranked ATP: 850.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Weber may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Weber is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Weber
ITF Tournaments
14.05.26	Arthur Weber - Rocco Valente	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Arthur Weber - Jack Karlsson Wistrand	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.04.26	Arthur Weber - Inaki Montes De La Torre	0:2 ✺
13.04.26	Arthur Weber - Giles Hussey	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.04.26	Arthur Weber - Charles Broom	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WWLLL
- Finn Murgett
ITF Tournaments
14.05.26	Louis Larue - Finn Murgett	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	Edouard Villoslada - Finn Murgett	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Finn Murgett - Dimitris Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
05.05.26	Ronit Karki - Finn Murgett	0:2 ✺
01.05.26	Anton Matusevich - Finn Murgett	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLWL

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