Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Aryna Sabalenka		Jelena Ostapenko

	1	2
	1.25	4.00	Watch
	1.25	3.80
	1.26	3.85
	1.29	4.24
	1.27	3.8	Watch
	1.27	3.95
	1.26	4.01	Watch
	1.25	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↑ (1.16)	3.92 ↓ (5.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aryna Sabalenka
75.6%

Jelena Ostapenko
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.2%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aryna Sabalenka's form might have worsened.

Jelena Ostapenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jelena Ostapenko's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.4%	0%	52.6%

Aryna Sabalenka - Jelena Ostapenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ostapenko: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ostapenko (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 31.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Ostapenko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sabalenka is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Wimbledon
01.07.26	Aryna Sabalenka - McCartney Kessler	2:0 ✺
29.06.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Teodora Kostovic	2:0 ✺
WTA Berlin
20.06.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula	1:2 ✺
19.06.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Nikola Bartunkova	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLWW
- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Wimbledon
01.07.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Antonia Ruzic	2:0 ✺
29.06.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Harriet Dart	2:1 ✺
WTA Eastbourne
26.06.26	Tatjana Maria - Jelena Ostapenko	Ostapenko J. Retired ✺
25.06.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Zeynep Sonmez	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Panna Udvardy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WW?WW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Stuttgart
21.04.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2
WTA Roma
15.05.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2
WTA Dubai
22.02.23	Jelena Ostapenko - Aryna Sabalenka	1:2
WTA Zhengzhou
13.09.19	Jelena Ostapenko - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2

Aryna Sabalenka - Jelena Ostapenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide