Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: Arthur Ashe Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Aryna Sabalenka		Maria Camila Osorio Serrano

	1	2
	1.03	15	Watch
	1.05	9.25
	1.03	11
	1.05	13.89
	1.04	11.19	Watch
	1.04	15
	1.03	14.1	Watch
	1.03	11.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.09)	12.59 ↑ (7.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 18.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aryna Sabalenka
92.4%

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
7.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

87%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aryna Sabalenka's performance.

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maria Camila Osorio Serrano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Aryna Sabalenka - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Osorio Serrano will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Osorio Serrano is ranked WTA: 55.

Sabalenka has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Osorio Serrano is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Osorio Serrano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sabalenka is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Cincinnati
19.08.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Sara Bejlek	0:2 ✺
18.08.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Xin Yu Wang	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Talia Gibson	2:0 ✺
WTA Toronto
08.08.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Ekaterina Alexandrova	1:2 ✺
06.08.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Shuai Zhang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWLW
- Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
WTA Monterrey
24.08.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Ann Li	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
13.08.26	Taylor Townsend - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	2:1 ✺
WTA Toronto
04.08.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Lucrezia Stefanini - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	0:2 ✺
WTA Memphis
29.07.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Anastasia Zakharova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Madrid
29.04.23	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2
WTA Wimbledon
02.07.21	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2

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