Match Info

Date: 13 February 2021, Saturday


	Aryna Sabalenka		Serena Williams

	1	2
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.05	Watch
	1.76	2.08
	1.73	2.03
	1.8	2.13
	1.8	2
	1.85	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.1)	2.08 ↑ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 0.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aryna Sabalenka
54%

Serena Williams
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aryna Sabalenka's performance.

Serena Williams has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Serena Williams might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aryna Sabalenka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serena Williams than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Serena Williams could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.7%	0%	22.3%

Aryna Sabalenka - Serena Williams Predictions

Users Predictions: 157 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 122 - 77.7%). Williams will win (votes: 35 - 22.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 71.2% – 84.2%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sabalenka is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Williams in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sabalenka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Australian Open
11.02.21	Aryna Sabalenka - Ann Li	2:0 ✺
09.02.21	Aryna Sabalenka - Darya Kasatkina	2:0 ✺
08.02.21	Aryna Sabalenka - Viktoria Hruncakova	2:0 ✺
WTA Melbourne Gippsland Trophy
01.02.21	Aryna Sabalenka - Kaia Kanepi	1:2 ✺
WTA Abu Dhabi
13.01.21	Aryna Sabalenka - Veronika Kudermetova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLW
- Serena Williams
WTA Australian Open
11.02.21	Anastasia Potapova - Serena Williams	0:2 ✺
09.02.21	Nina Stojanovic - Serena Williams	0:2 ✺
07.02.21	Laura Siegemund - Serena Williams	0:2 ✺
WTA Melbourne Yarra Valley Classic
05.02.21	Ashleigh Barty - Serena Williams	Barty A. walkover ✺
04.02.21	Danielle Collins - Serena Williams	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWW?W

Aryna Sabalenka - Serena Williams: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide