Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Court Suzanne-Lenglen (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Aryna Sabalenka		Darya Kasatkina

	1	2
	1.07	9	Watch
	1.08	7.25	Watch
	1.06	8.34
	1.08	9.86
	1.07	8.25	Watch
	1.06	8
	1.08	10.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.07 (1.07)	8.71 ↑ (8.06)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aryna Sabalenka
89.1%

Darya Kasatkina
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

88.3%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Aryna Sabalenka - Darya Kasatkina Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Kasatkina will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 53.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 4.

Sabalenka has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kasatkina is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sabalenka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sabalenka is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 1.7:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Roland Garros
28.05.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Elsa Jacquemot	2:0 ✺
26.05.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
09.05.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Sorana Cirstea	1:2 ✺
07.05.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Barbora Krejcikova	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
28.04.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Hailey Baptiste	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WWLWL
- Darya Kasatkina
WTA Roland Garros
28.05.26	Darya Kasatkina - Susan Bandecchi	2:0 ✺
25.05.26	Darya Kasatkina - Zeynep Sonmez	2:0 ✺
WTA Strasbourg
21.05.26	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Darya Kasatkina	2:1 ✺
19.05.26	Peyton Stearns - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
18.05.26	Darya Kasatkina - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Berlin
20.06.24	Darya Kasatkina - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2
WTA Brisbane
05.01.24	Aryna Sabalenka - Darya Kasatkina	2:0
WTA US Open
04.09.23	Darya Kasatkina - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2
WTA Cincinnati
17.08.23	Darya Kasatkina - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2
WTA San Jose
05.08.22	Darya Kasatkina - Aryna Sabalenka	2:1
WTA Madrid
02.05.21	Aryna Sabalenka - Darya Kasatkina	2:0
WTA Australian Open
09.02.21	Aryna Sabalenka - Darya Kasatkina	2:0

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