Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday


	Aryna Sabalenka		Victoria Mboko

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.27	3.85
	1.3	3.89
	1.31	3.57	Watch
	1.29	3.6
	1.3	3.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↑ (1.2)	3.77 ↓ (4.49)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aryna Sabalenka
74.5%

Victoria Mboko
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.9%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Victoria Mboko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Aryna Sabalenka - Victoria Mboko Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Mboko will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mboko: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 1 - 50%). Mboko (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5 Games - Mboko (1.54) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +1.5 Sets - Sabalenka (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Mboko (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Mboko is ranked WTA: 10.

Sabalenka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Mboko has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Sabalenka is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sabalenka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Indian Wells
10.03.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Naomi Osaka	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Himeno Sakatsume	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
31.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina	1:2 ✺
29.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Elina Svitolina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWLW
- Victoria Mboko
WTA Indian Wells
10.03.26	Victoria Mboko - Amanda Anisimova	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Victoria Mboko - Anna Kalinskaya	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Victoria Mboko - Kimberly Birrell	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
16.02.26	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Victoria Mboko	Canceled ✺
WTA Doha
14.02.26	Karolina Muchova - Victoria Mboko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWW?L

Latest Head to Head

WTA Australian Open
24.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Victoria Mboko	2:0

Aryna Sabalenka - Victoria Mboko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide