The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aslan Karatsev 65.1%
Evgeny Karlovskiy 34.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70.6%
29.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.7%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aslan Karatsev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aslan Karatsev's form might have worsened.
Evgeny Karlovskiy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Evgeny Karlovskiy's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aslan Karatsev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Evgeny Karlovskiy than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Evgeny Karlovskiy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Aslan Karatsev - Evgeny Karlovskiy Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Karatsev will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Karlovskiy will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Karlovskiy: 35.9% – 97.5%.
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Preview
Recent matches Karatsev is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Karlovskiy has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Karlovskiy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Karatsev is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Karatsev won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.
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