Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday


	Aslan Karatsev		Leandro Riedi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.7
	1.4	2.75
	1.43	2.88
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.4	2.86	Watch
	1.41	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.57)	2.82 ↑ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aslan Karatsev
66.8%

Leandro Riedi
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aslan Karatsev's performance.

Leandro Riedi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leandro Riedi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aslan Karatsev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leandro Riedi than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leandro Riedi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Aslan Karatsev - Leandro Riedi Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Karatsev will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Riedi will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Riedi: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Karatsev is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Riedi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Karatsev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Karatsev is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Stockholm
19.10.22	Aslan Karatsev - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
17.10.22	Lukas Rosol - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
ATP Florence
12.10.22	Aslan Karatsev - Mikael Ymer	1:2 ✺
10.10.22	Aslan Karatsev - Tallon Griekspoor	Griekspoor T. retired ✺
ATP Astana
03.10.22	Zhizhen Zhang - Aslan Karatsev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWL?L
- Leandro Riedi
ATP Challenger
11.10.22	Gabriel Diallo - Leandro Riedi	2:1 ✺
06.10.22	Denis Kudla - Leandro Riedi	2:0 ✺
04.10.22	Patrick Kypson - Leandro Riedi	1:2 ✺
30.09.22	Facundo Mena - Leandro Riedi	Canceled ✺
27.09.22	Strong Kirchheimer - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLW?W

Aslan Karatsev - Leandro Riedi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide