Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 NOTTINGHAM 2 (UNITED KINGDOM), HARD - FINAL

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday


	August Holmgren		Lucas Poullain

	1	2
	2.05	1.67
	2.25	1.57
	2.13	1.69
	2	1.73
	2.13	1.64	Watch
	2.13	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.45)	1.66 ↑ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

August Holmgren
43.9%

Lucas Poullain
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

August Holmgren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in August Holmgren's performance.

Lucas Poullain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucas Poullain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with August Holmgren that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucas Poullain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

August Holmgren - Lucas Poullain Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Recent matches Holmgren is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Poullain is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Holmgren could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Poullain will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Poullain to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- August Holmgren
ITF Tournaments
29.04.23	August Holmgren - Daniel Little	2:0 ✺
27.04.23	Matthew Dellavedova - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
25.04.23	Oscar Weightman - August Holmgren	1:2 ✺
19.04.23	August Holmgren - Hamish Stewart	0:2 ✺
12.04.23	August Holmgren - Sergey Fomin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWWLL
- Lucas Poullain
ITF Tournaments
29.04.23	Giles Hussey - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
28.04.23	Lucas Poullain - Alec Deckers	2:1 ✺
28.04.23	Lucas Poullain - Yusuke Takahashi	2:1 ✺
25.04.23	Lucas Poullain - Joshua Goodger	2:0 ✺
21.04.23	Daniel Cox - Lucas Poullain	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWL

August Holmgren - Lucas Poullain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide