Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Eupen, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday


	Axel Garcian		Alessio Basile

	1	2
	1.72	1.98
	1.78	2.06
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.75	2.03
	1.72	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.97)	2.01 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Axel Garcian
53.6%

Alessio Basile
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Axel Garcian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Axel Garcian's performance.

Alessio Basile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alessio Basile might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Axel Garcian than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Axel Garcian that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessio Basile than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alessio Basile could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Axel Garcian - Alessio Basile Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Garcian is ranked ATP: 991. Basile is ranked ATP: 1417.

In recent matches, Garcian has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Basile's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Basile may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Axel Garcian
ITF Tournaments
30.07.26	Arthur Nagel - Axel Garcian	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Axel Garcian - Fons Van Sambeek	2:0 ✺
09.07.26	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Axel Garcian	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Valentin Lapalu - Axel Garcian	1:2 ✺
02.07.26	Carles Hernandez - Axel Garcian	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWL
- Alessio Basile
ITF Tournaments
28.07.26	Alessio Basile - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	0:2 ✺
16.07.26	Luca Wiedenmann - Alessio Basile	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Alessio Basile - Adan Freire Da Silva	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.07.26	Alessio Basile - Franco Ribero	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.06.26	Kirill Kivattsev - Alessio Basile	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLL

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