Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Saarlouis, clay - Final

Date: 22 June 2025, Sunday


	Axel Garcian		Imanol Lopez Morillo

	1	2
	2.3	1.53
	2.47	1.52
			Watch
	2.44	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.12)	1.52 ↓ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Axel Garcian
38.7%

Imanol Lopez Morillo
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Axel Garcian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Axel Garcian's form might have worsened.

Imanol Lopez Morillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Imanol Lopez Morillo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Axel Garcian than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imanol Lopez Morillo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Axel Garcian - Imanol Lopez Morillo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Garcian is ranked ATP: 764. Lopez Morillo is ranked ATP: 700.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Lopez Morillo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lopez Morillo could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Lopez Morillo will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Axel Garcian
ITF Tournaments
21.06.25	Christian Sigsgaard - Axel Garcian	0:2 ✺
20.06.25	Axel Garcian - Jakub Filip	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Michael Agwi - Axel Garcian	1:2 ✺
12.06.25	Mikael Ymer - Axel Garcian	2:0 ✺
11.06.25	Victor Ryden - Axel Garcian	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWLW
- Imanol Lopez Morillo
ITF Tournaments
21.06.25	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Amaury Raynel	2:0 ✺
20.06.25	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Milan Welte	2:0 ✺
19.06.25	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Toru Horie	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Maik Steiner	2:0 ✺
11.06.25	Alberto Barroso Campos - Imanol Lopez Morillo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWWL

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