Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 PALM COAST, FL (USA), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 16 February 2024, Friday


	Axel Nefve		Dmitry Popko

	1	2
	2.6	1.43
	2.74	1.44
	2.39	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.88)	1.48 ↑ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Axel Nefve
36.8%

Dmitry Popko
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Axel Nefve has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Dmitry Popko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Axel Nefve than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Axel Nefve that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dmitry Popko than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dmitry Popko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Nefve is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Popko in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Nefve could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Popko is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Popko to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nefve won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Axel Nefve
ITF Tournaments
15.02.24	Aidan Kim - Axel Nefve	1:2 ✺
14.02.24	Jaycer Lyeons - Axel Nefve	0:2 ✺
09.02.24	Axel Nefve - Dmitry Popko	1:2 ✺
08.02.24	Axel Nefve - Marlon Vankan	2:0 ✺
07.02.24	Victor Lilov - Axel Nefve	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWW
- Dmitry Popko
ITF Tournaments
15.02.24	Felix Corwin - Dmitry Popko	0:2 ✺
14.02.24	Alexander Razeghi - Dmitry Popko	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Alex Rybakov - Dmitry Popko	0:2 ✺
10.02.24	Peter Bertran - Dmitry Popko	0:2 ✺
09.02.24	Axel Nefve - Dmitry Popko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
09.02.24	Axel Nefve - Dmitry Popko	1:2

Axel Nefve - Dmitry Popko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide