Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham 4 - Qualification, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 7 July 2025, Monday


	Axel Nefve		Luca Pow

	1	2
			Watch
	2.8	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	2.95	1.39
			Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.93	1.37	Watch
	2.77	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.75)	1.38 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Axel Nefve
32.2%

Luca Pow
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Axel Nefve has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Luca Pow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Axel Nefve than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Pow than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Axel Nefve - Luca Pow Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nefve will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Pow will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pow (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Nefve is ranked ATP: 946. Pow is ranked ATP: 935.

Recent performances by Nefve have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pow's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pow is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Axel Nefve
ITF Tournaments
24.06.25	Axel Nefve - Guillaume Dalmasso	0:2 ✺
20.06.25	Axel Nefve - Semen Pankin	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Guillaume Dalmasso - Axel Nefve	0:2 ✺
17.06.25	Axel Nefve - Brandon Perez	2:0 ✺
14.06.25	Axel Nefve - Samuel Heredia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWWL
- Luca Pow
ITF Tournaments
25.06.25	Luca Pow - Romain Gales	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Luca Pow	2:1 ✺
18.06.25	Luca Pow - S D Prajwal Dev	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Luca Pow - Pierre Yves Bailly	1:2 ✺
14.06.25	Jack Loutit - Luca Pow	Loutit J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWL?

Axel Nefve - Luca Pow: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide