Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 4 (Italy), clay - Final

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday


	Ayla Aksu		Lucie Havlickova

	1	2
	2.4	1.48
	2.34	1.53
	2.46	1.52
	2.47	1.53
	2.25	1.57
	2.45	1.51	Watch
	2.36	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (1.87)	1.52 ↓ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayla Aksu
38.9%

Lucie Havlickova
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayla Aksu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ayla Aksu's form might have worsened.

Lucie Havlickova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucie Havlickova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayla Aksu than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ayla Aksu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucie Havlickova than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucie Havlickova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Ayla Aksu - Lucie Havlickova Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aksu will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Havlickova will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

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Preview

Aksu is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Havlickova in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Havlickova will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Havlickova to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayla Aksu
ITF Tournaments
20.04.24	Beatrice Ricci - Ayla Aksu	0:2 ✺
19.04.24	Ayla Aksu - Nahia Berecoechea	2:0 ✺
18.04.24	Ayla Aksu - Patricia Maria Tig	Tig P. M. retired ✺
17.04.24	Ayla Aksu - Federica Di Sarra	2:1 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group I
13.04.24	Fanny Stollar - Ayla Aksu	Aksu A. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WW?W?
- Lucie Havlickova
ITF Tournaments
20.04.24	Lucie Havlickova - Stephanie Wagner	2:0 ✺
19.04.24	Lucie Havlickova - Laura Hietaranta	2:1 ✺
18.04.24	Lucie Havlickova - Cagla Buyukakcay	2:0 ✺
17.04.24	Lucie Havlickova - Eleni Christofi	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Lucie Havlickova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWW

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