Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Courmayeur, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday ⏱️ In 2h 13m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Courmayeur 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Lucrezia Stefanini		Ayla Aksu

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.36	2.95
	1.39	2.8
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.35	3
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.39	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.35)	2.86 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucrezia Stefanini
67.6%

Ayla Aksu
32.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.8%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucrezia Stefanini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Ayla Aksu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucrezia Stefanini than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucrezia Stefanini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayla Aksu than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ayla Aksu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Lucrezia Stefanini - Ayla Aksu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Stefanini is ranked WTA: 118., and Aksu is ranked WTA: 159..

Stefanini has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Aksu is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Aksu could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Stefanini is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Stefanini has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 1.7:0.7 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucrezia Stefanini
ATP Challenger
27.10.26	Lucrezia Stefanini - Isabella Maria Serban	2:0 ✺
16.10.26	Bianca Vanessa Andreescu - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:0 ✺
14.10.26	Harmony Tan - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2 ✺
13.10.26	Laura Mair - Lucrezia Stefanini	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	Ayla Aksu - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWWL
- Ayla Aksu
ATP Challenger
26.10.26	Lisa Zaar - Ayla Aksu	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.10.26	Dalayna Hewitt - Ayla Aksu	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.10.26	Ayla Aksu - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Ayla Aksu - Himeno Sakatsume	2:0 ✺
09.10.26	Ayla Aksu - Fiona Crawley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.10.26	Ayla Aksu - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:1
WTA US Open
24.08.26	Ayla Aksu - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2
ITF Tournaments
30.08.23	Lucrezia Stefanini - Ayla Aksu	2:0

Lucrezia Stefanini - Ayla Aksu