Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Changwon, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Changwon 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Ayumi Koshiishi		Hikaru Sato

	1	2
	1.57	2.2
	1.58	2.29
			Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.58	2.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.69)	2.25 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayumi Koshiishi
58.8%

Hikaru Sato
41.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayumi Koshiishi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Hikaru Sato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayumi Koshiishi than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ayumi Koshiishi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hikaru Sato than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hikaru Sato could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ayumi Koshiishi - Hikaru Sato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Koshiishi is ranked WTA: 405. Sato is ranked WTA: 350.

Recent performances by Koshiishi have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sato has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Koshiishi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Koshiishi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayumi Koshiishi
ITF Tournaments
07.05.25	Zongyu Li - Ayumi Koshiishi	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Ayumi Koshiishi - Anastasia Zolotareva	2:1 ✺
29.04.25	Eunhye Lee - Ayumi Koshiishi	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Ayumi Koshiishi - Yexin Ma	1:2 ✺
17.03.25	Kyoka Okamura - Ayumi Koshiishi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLL
- Hikaru Sato
ITF Tournaments
07.05.25	Hikaru Sato - Jenna Defalco	0:2 ✺
18.04.25	Iva Ivanova - Hikaru Sato	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Federica Di Sarra - Hikaru Sato	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Hikaru Sato - Jia-Jing Lu	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Hikaru Sato	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
20.07.24	Hikaru Sato - Ayumi Koshiishi	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hikaru Sato
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Hikaru Sato - Erika Sema

Ayumi Koshiishi - Hikaru Sato