Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Astana, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday


	Aziz Dougaz		Alec Deckers

	1	2
			Watch
	1.24	3.70
	1.24	3.65
	1.27	3.92
	1.25	3.55
	1.24	3.8
	1.24	3.65	Watch
	1.24	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.36)	3.7 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aziz Dougaz
74.8%

Alec Deckers
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aziz Dougaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aziz Dougaz's performance.

Alec Deckers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alec Deckers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aziz Dougaz than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aziz Dougaz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alec Deckers than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alec Deckers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Aziz Dougaz - Alec Deckers Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Dougaz will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Deckers will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dougaz is ranked ATP: 690. Deckers is ranked ATP: 577.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Deckers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Dougaz is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aziz Dougaz
ATP Challenger
06.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Aziz Dougaz	2:1 ✺
04.08.26	Aziz Dougaz - Mirza Basic	2:0 ✺
03.08.26	Dimitris Sakellaridis - Aziz Dougaz	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Alan Bojarski - Aziz Dougaz	1:2 ✺
ATP Washington
25.07.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Aziz Dougaz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWWL
- Alec Deckers
ATP Challenger
10.08.26	Egor Agafonov - Alec Deckers	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Danial Rakhmatullayev - Alec Deckers	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Kerem Yilmaz - Alec Deckers	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Samim Filiz - Alec Deckers	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.07.26	Charlie Robertson - Alec Deckers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLWL

Aziz Dougaz - Alec Deckers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide