What is the expert prediction for Joel Schwaerzler vs Aziz Dougaz?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Joel Schwaerzler vs Aziz Dougaz. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Joel Schwaerzler vs Aziz Dougaz Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, August 06, 2026)

Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Grodzisk Mazowiecki, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 August 2026, Thursday


	Joel Schwaerzler		Aziz Dougaz

	1	2
			Watch
	1.91	1.80
	1.83	1.93	Watch
	1.96	1.92
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	1.89	1.81
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.89	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.42)	1.84 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joel Schwaerzler
49.4%

Aziz Dougaz
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joel Schwaerzler's form might have worsened.

Aziz Dougaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aziz Dougaz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+23%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joel Schwaerzler, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aziz Dougaz than the current prediction. (-23%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aziz Dougaz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Dougaz will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dougaz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 182. Dougaz is ranked ATP: 690.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Schwaerzler may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Schwaerzler could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

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Last Results with these Odds

Joel Schwaerzler - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 65.02%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Jiri Cizek	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
20.07.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
13.07.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLL
- Aziz Dougaz
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	Aziz Dougaz - Mirza Basic	2:0 ✺
03.08.26	Dimitris Sakellaridis - Aziz Dougaz	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Alan Bojarski - Aziz Dougaz	1:2 ✺
ATP Washington
25.07.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Aziz Dougaz	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.07.26	Dmitry Dolzhenkov - Aziz Dougaz	Canceled
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWL?

Joel Schwaerzler - Aziz Dougaz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide