Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tampere (Finland), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 July 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Svjetlanovic S. (Bih)


	Aziz Dougaz		Dalibor Svrcina

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.18	1.61	Watch
	2.34	1.62
	2.24	1.61	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.64	Watch
	2.18	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.91)	1.63 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aziz Dougaz
42.5%

Dalibor Svrcina
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aziz Dougaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aziz Dougaz's form might have worsened.

Dalibor Svrcina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dalibor Svrcina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aziz Dougaz than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aziz Dougaz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dalibor Svrcina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Aziz Dougaz - Dalibor Svrcina Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Dougaz will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Svrcina will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dougaz is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Svrcina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Svrcina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aziz Dougaz
ATP Hamburg
14.07.24	Aziz Dougaz - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
13.07.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Aziz Dougaz	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.07.24	Aziz Dougaz - Giulio Perego	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.07.24	Chun Hsin Tseng - Aziz Dougaz	Canceled ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.24	Aziz Dougaz - Gabriel Diallo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWL?L
- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Hamburg
13.07.24	Dalibor Svrcina - Ugo Blanchet	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.07.24	Enzo Couacaud - Dalibor Svrcina	2:1 ✺
08.07.24	Maxime Janvier - Dalibor Svrcina	1:2 ✺
05.07.24	Dalibor Svrcina - Radu Mihai Papoe	0:2 ✺
02.07.24	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Dalibor Svrcina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWLW

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