Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Abidjan 2, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday


	Aziz Dougaz		Michael Geerts

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.84	1.86
	1.87	1.99
	1.82	1.97
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.23	3.59	Watch
	1.84	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.17)	2.13 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aziz Dougaz
54.9%

Michael Geerts
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aziz Dougaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aziz Dougaz's performance.

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michael Geerts might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aziz Dougaz than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aziz Dougaz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Geerts could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Aziz Dougaz - Michael Geerts Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Dougaz (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Aziz Dougaz will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aziz Dougaz will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Dougaz (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dougaz is ranked ATP: 196. Geerts is ranked ATP: 288.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Dougaz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aziz Dougaz
ATP Challenger
25.04.25	Aziz Dougaz - Philip Henning	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	Aziz Dougaz - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
22.04.25	Aziz Dougaz - Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Aziz Dougaz - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
15.04.25	Aziz Dougaz - Toby Samuel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLW
- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
25.04.25	Michael Geerts - Aryan Shah	Shah A. retired ✺
23.04.25	Michael Geerts - Dominik Kellovsky	2:0 ✺
21.04.25	Michael Geerts - Tibo Colson	2:1 ✺
18.04.25	Richard Berankis - Michael Geerts	2:1 ✺
16.04.25	Luca Potenza - Michael Geerts	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 ?WWLW

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition UTR Pro Match Series Men
29.07.20	Aziz Dougaz - Michael Geerts	0:2
21.07.20	Aziz Dougaz - Michael Geerts	0:2

Aziz Dougaz - Michael Geerts: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide