Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 23, hard - Final

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday


	Aziz Ouakaa		Ergi Kirkin

	1	2
	2.35	1.50
	2.43	1.50
	2.49	1.55
	2.58	1.43	Watch
	2.73	1.40	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (3.15)	1.48 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aziz Ouakaa
37%

Ergi Kirkin
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

70.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aziz Ouakaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aziz Ouakaa's performance.

Ergi Kirkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ergi Kirkin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aziz Ouakaa than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aziz Ouakaa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ergi Kirkin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aziz Ouakaa - Ergi Kirkin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ouakaa is ranked ATP: 570. Kirkin is ranked ATP: 600.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Ouakaa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kirkin is a strong favorite.

We predict that Kirkin will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ouakaa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Ergi Kirkin - the odds 1.3 are the expected chance of winning is 70.79%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aziz Ouakaa
ITF Tournaments
20.06.26	Aziz Ouakaa - Andrea Colombo	2:1 ✺
19.06.26	Aziz Ouakaa - Viktor Frydrych	2:0 ✺
18.06.26	Aziz Ouakaa - Mathieu Scaglia	2:0 ✺
17.06.26	Aziz Ouakaa - Matthew Rankin	Rankin M. Retired ✺
10.06.26	Aziz Ouakaa - Marcus Walters	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWW?L
- Ergi Kirkin
ITF Tournaments
20.06.26	Ergi Kirkin - Billy Blaydes	2:0 ✺
19.06.26	Roger Pascual Ferra - Ergi Kirkin	1:2 ✺
18.06.26	Danil Panarin - Ergi Kirkin	1:2 ✺
17.06.26	Anas Bennour Dit Sahli - Ergi Kirkin	1:2 ✺
27.05.26	Ergi Kirkin - Vuk Radjenovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.04.25	Ergi Kirkin - Aziz Ouakaa	2:0

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