Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Monastir 4, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 June 2025, Wednesday


	Aziz Ouakaa		Mert Alkaya

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.6
			Watch
	2.12	1.67
			Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.19	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.24)	1.63 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aziz Ouakaa
43%

Mert Alkaya
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aziz Ouakaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Mert Alkaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aziz Ouakaa than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Aziz Ouakaa - Mert Alkaya Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alkaya (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Ouakaa is ranked ATP: 615. Alkaya is ranked ATP: 713.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Alkaya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alkaya will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ouakaa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Aziz Ouakaa - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.51%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aziz Ouakaa
ITF Tournaments
20.06.25	Luca Potenza - Aziz Ouakaa	2:1 ✺
19.06.25	Aziz Ouakaa - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Yurii Dzhavakian - Aziz Ouakaa	1:2 ✺
11.06.25	Aziz Ouakaa - Liam Broady	0:2 ✺
05.06.25	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Aziz Ouakaa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLL
- Mert Alkaya
ITF Tournaments
20.06.25	Fabrizio Andaloro - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
19.06.25	Mert Alkaya - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:1 ✺
17.06.25	Saveliy Ivanov - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Mert Alkaya	2:1 ✺
01.06.25	Mert Alkaya - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.05.25	Mert Alkaya - Aziz Ouakaa	2:0
10.07.24	Aziz Ouakaa - Mert Alkaya	2:1

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