Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Soma Bay - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday


	Aziz Ouakaa		Tom Zeuch

	1	2
			Watch
	1.58	2.24	Watch
	1.64	2.22
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.59	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.67)	2.21 ↑ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aziz Ouakaa
57.9%

Tom Zeuch
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aziz Ouakaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Tom Zeuch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aziz Ouakaa than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tom Zeuch than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Aziz Ouakaa - Tom Zeuch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ouakaa is ranked ATP: 668. Zeuch is ranked ATP: 1045.

Ouakaa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zeuch is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Zeuch may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ouakaa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Aziz Ouakaa - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.18%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aziz Ouakaa
ATP Challenger
16.11.25	Aziz Ouakaa - Kelsey Stevenson	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.11.25	Aziz Ouakaa - Fabrizio Andaloro	0:2 ✺
13.11.25	Mwendwa Mbithi - Aziz Ouakaa	0:2 ✺
12.11.25	Aziz Ouakaa - David Eichenseher	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Aziz Ouakaa - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWL
- Tom Zeuch
ATP Challenger
16.11.25	Marwan Ehab - Tom Zeuch	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.09.25	Tom Zeuch - Calvin Mueller	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Andrea Guerrieri - Tom Zeuch	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	Tom Zeuch - Noah Thurner	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Axel Garcian - Tom Zeuch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WLWWW

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